International Livestock Modelling and Research Colloquium
14-16 October 2014, Bilbao, Spain
The meeting will be hosted by the Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3) and we warmly invite our partners within LiveM, as well as representatives of TradeM and CropM, to join us in Bilbao. The aims of our meeting are to:
- build on the achievements of the theme, developing our ideas on collaborative modelling
- approaches that can provide relevant and valuable outcomes for policymakers and producers further develop our links with other international initiatives in livestock and grassland modelling
- explore the funding streams available for the further development of models (and modelling teams) with increased capacity to tackle the societal challenge of food security and sustainable agriculture under climate change
- define the role of LiveM within the wider livestock and grassland research community.
The LiveM theme of the FACCE-JPI MACSUR Knowledge Hub brings together 30 institutes from 14 European countries with expertise in a diverse range of disciplines, from grassland and farm-scale modelling through to livestock disease and health research.
TradeM International Workshop
Economics of integrated assessment approaches
for agriculture and the food sector
25-27 November 2014, Hurdal (near Oslo), Norway
Climate change, food security, and agricultural production interact in complex ways. A major challenge for scientists is to understand and assess the biological, economic, and ecological interdependencies in the context of climate change and food security. More and better knowledge is necessary to aid politicians, stakeholders and farmers in their decisions.
The event has four major goals:
- to critically discuss the state-of-the-art and future perspectives of integrated assessment approaches
- to study and assess examples of applied modelling approaches integrating crop, livestock, and economic models
- to foster international collaboration in the research areas of food security, climate change, and agrosystem modelling
- to plan and identify next steps to achieve TradeM contributions to MACSUR goals
Keynote-speaker: John Antle (Oregon State University), and co-leader of the Economics Team of AgMIP
[ More information ]
The Knowledge Hub FACCE MACSUR brings together the excellence of research in modelling grasslands, livestock, crops, farms, and agricultural trade in order to illustrate to political decision makers how climate will affect regional farming systems and food production in Europe. To achieve this goal, MACSUR engages in a range of activities, including methodological comparisons of models and use of their outputs (scaling, uncertainty), linking of complementary models from different sectors, involvement of stakeholders, training of young scientists, and establishing a community of practice across a broad range of scientific disciplines. The three-year project started in June 2012.
FACCE MACSUR is organized as a Knowledge Hub, a new financial and organizational instrument. The novelty of MACSUR lies in the in-kind contributions of 7 million euros which, in addition to the 7 million euros of new money, contribute to facilitating the convergence of already funded and ongoing research, as well as funding new research. The project includes more than 70 institutions from 18 countries. Activities are funded by national agencies, with the amount of funds and the regulation of their use governed at the national level.
Achievements so far
- Creating a forum for knowledge exchange across science disciplines.
- Adoption of good-practice examples from other scientific communities.
- Structured description of models and comparisons of model performance.
- Selection of regional case studies as showcases of integrated and inter-disciplinary modelling work.
- Training of young scientists.
- Development of European Representative Agricultural Pathways as input to global scenario exercises.
- Development of a data classification and rating tool for exploration of existing data sets.
- Advancement of knowledge in modelling of crop production, grassland production, price development.
- Collaboration on new funded projects.
- About a dozen manuscripts on methodological aspects of modelling food security published or submitted for publication in peer-reviewed journals.
- Overview papers in high-profile journals.
- CropM International Symposium and Workshop:
Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, 10-12 February 2014, Oslo, Norway
- Mid-term meeting with presentation of intermediate results to stakeholders, 1-4 April 2014, Sassari, Italy
- Reports on activities are published in the FACCE MACSUR Reports series
Expected additional achievements by the end of the project (May 2015)
- Carrying forward of existing activities to their target.
- Involvement of decision-makers and stakeholders in regional case studies and in Europe-wide scenario development and capacity building events.
- Additional manuscripts published or submitted for publication in peer-reviewed journals.
- Development of strategies for applying model-linking strategies in other case studies.
Regional case studies
The purpose of regional case studies is a simultaneous and interlinked development of a common conceptual framework and actual models and model links to assist policy makers and actors in the agri-food chain in identifying effective and efficient adaptation and mitigation measures and potential consequence scenarios, e.g. impact on food yield, quality, nutritive value, disease load etc. in perceived hotspots of climate impacts. The studies are geared to ansower the question "what would be the different contributions of different European adaptation strategies to global food security until 2050 at different scales (farm to EU) while keeping the GHG targets?"
Three case studies in Northern Savo (Finland), Mostviertel (Austria), and Oristano (Sardinia, Italy) have been selected as showcase pilot studies to represent the farming systems in northern, central and southern Europe. The case studies expand existing case studies. For compatibility with international research networks AgMIP and ISIMIP the Regional Pilot Studies will apply the new Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (especially SSP2 "continuation" but also SSP3 "fragmentation") in conjunction with the Representative CO2 Concentration Pathway of 8.5 W/m2 (most similar to the SRES A2 emission scenario of the IPCC reports).
FACCE MACSUR integrated Regional Pilot Studies, Workshop results